both the romney-ryan ticket and obama-biden ticket, tied 46-46. this is a squeaker, folks. that number really has not changed much over the last 30 days. when we break that down among independent voters which is a lot of focus is on, you have governor romney ahead of this key voting bloc by 7%. as you can see president obama made gains with independents since october as well. his number has gone from 32 to 39. let's bring in some of our favorite experts, doug schoen, former pollster to president bill clinton. monica crowley, radio talk show host and both are fox news contributors. five days to go, this thing is so tight. if people aren't talking about sandy they're talking about who they think will win this thing. quick initial thought from you both and then i want to cruise through some of these polls. doug, where do we stand? >> oh, i think we are suggest that we're in a tie. the swing state data showing ever so slight obama lead, within the margin of error. ohio couple points up. through the midwest, wisconsin, michigan, minnesota, a couple points up, a couple points up